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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Spiel ·

Lyon vs Sparta Prag

Archived pre-match prediction

Heim form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg61%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg17%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 61% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg61% selection probability
Projected score2–1LyonSparta Prag
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
61% / 21% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sparta Prag win (17.2%)Doppelte Chance1X82.8%1.21
Über 53% · Unter 47%Goals 2.5Über53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.77 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lyon win61%1.641.5062.7%
Unentschieden21%4.764.5020.9%
Sparta Prag win17%5.885.7516.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lyon1.82

Heim share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 53% · Unter 47%

Sparta Prag0.95

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Lyon

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sparta Prag

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.82
Expected goals
0.95
LyonSparta Prag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lyon signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Prag signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Lyon vs Sparta Prag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lyon Gewinn 61%,Unentschieden 21%,Sparta Prag Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Über 2.5 53% · Current selection Über