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INT Czechia First League · Spiel ·

Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.49 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg22%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg54%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Mlada BoleslavSparta Prag
Expected goals3.49Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über68% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
22% / 24% / 54%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mlada Boleslav win (21.6%)Doppelte ChanceX278.4%1.28
Über 68% · Unter 32%Goals 2.5Über68%1.47
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.49 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mlada Boleslav win22%4.554.2021.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7024.6%-0.6 pp
Sparta Prag win54%1.851.7053.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mlada Boleslav1.24

Heim share of expected goals 35.5%

Total expected goals3.49Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 68% · Unter 32%

Sparta Prag2.25

Auswärts share of expected goals 64.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Mlada Boleslav

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sparta Prag

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
54%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.24
Expected goals
2.25
Mlada BoleslavSparta Prag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mlada Boleslav signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Prag signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mlada Boleslav Gewinn 22%,Unentschieden 24%,Sparta Prag Gewinn 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.49 · Über 2.5 68% · Current selection Über