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INT Czechia First League · Kamp ·

Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–23.46 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr22%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr54%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr54% selection probability
Projected score1–2Mlada BoleslavSparta Prag
Expected goals3.46Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
22% / 24% / 54%KampresultatUdesejr54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mlada Boleslav win (21.5%)DobbeltchanceX278.5%1.27
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Ja 63% · Nej 37%Begge hold scorerJa63%1.59
3.46 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.7%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mlada Boleslav win22%4.554.2021.7%+0.3 pp
Uafgjort24%4.173.7024.6%-0.6 pp
Sparta Prag win54%1.851.7053.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mlada Boleslav1.21

Hjemme share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.46Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Sparta Prag2.25

Ude share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 63% · Nej 37%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Mlada Boleslav

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Sparta Prag

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Point6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vundet probability excluding draw
54%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.21
Expected goals
2.25
Mlada BoleslavSparta Prag
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mlada Boleslav signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sparta Prag signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta Prag FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–2 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mlada Boleslav vundet 22%,Uafgjort 24%,Sparta Prag vundet 54%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over