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INT Czechia First League · Spiel ·

Slavia Prag vs Pardubice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–13.46 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg76%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg8%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg76% selection probability
Projected score3–1Slavia PragPardubice
Expected goals3.46Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über67% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
76% / 16% / 8%SpielergebnisHeimsieg76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pardubice win (8.4%)Doppelte Chance1X91.6%1.09
Über 67% · Unter 33%Goals 2.5Über67%1.49
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
3.46 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapSlavia Prag winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Slavia Prag win76%1.321.2275.6%+0.4 pp
Unentschieden16%6.255.7516%0.0 pp
Pardubice win8%12.5011.008.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Slavia Prag2.67

Heim share of expected goals 77.2%

Total expected goals3.46Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 67% · Unter 33%

Pardubice0.79

Auswärts share of expected goals 22.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Slavia Prag

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Pardubice

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.67
Expected goals
0.79
Slavia PragPardubice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Slavia Prag signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pardubice signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Slavia Prag vs Pardubice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Slavia Prag Gewinn 76%,Unentschieden 16%,Pardubice Gewinn 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Über 2.5 67% · Current selection Über