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INT Czechia First League · Fixture ·

Slavia Prague vs Pardubice

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.46 expected goals
Away form
Home win76%
Draw16%
Away win8%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 76% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win76% selection probability
Projected score3–1Slavia PraguePardubice
Expected goals3.46Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
76% / 16% / 8%Match resultHome win76%1.32
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pardubice win (8.4%)Double chance1X91.6%1.09
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
3.46 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin8.4%Largest probability gapSlavia Prague winDifference+0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Slavia Prague win76%1.321.2275.6%+0.4 pp
Draw16%6.255.7516%0.0 pp
Pardubice win8%12.5011.008.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Slavia Prague2.67

Home share of expected goals 77.2%

Total expected goals3.46Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Pardubice0.79

Away share of expected goals 22.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Slavia Prague

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Pardubice

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
76%
Win probability excluding draw
8%
9
Points from supplied form
4
2.67
Expected goals
0.79
Slavia PraguePardubice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Slavia Prague signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Pardubice signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk24% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

Slavia Prague vs Pardubice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 76% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Slavia Prague win 76%,Draw 16%,Pardubice win 8%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.46 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over