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INT Czechia First League · Fixture ·

FK Jablonec vs Slovacko

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw27%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JablonecSlovacko
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under50% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 27% / 22%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Slovacko win (21.8%)Double chance1X78.2%1.28
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Under50%2.00
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.67 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FK Jablonec win51%1.96
Draw27%3.70
Slovacko win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jablonec1.81

Home share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%

Slovacko0.86

Away share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FK Jablonec

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Slovacko

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.81
Expected goals
0.86
FK JablonecSlovacko
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jablonec signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slovacko signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FK Jablonec vs Slovacko FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jablonec win 51%,Draw 27%,Slovacko win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Under