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INT Czechia First League · Wedstrijd ·

FK Jablonec vs Slovacko

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.67 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst51%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK JablonecSlovacko
Expected goals2.67Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder50% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
51% / 27% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Slovacko win (21.8%)Dubbele Kans1X78.2%1.28
Boven 50% · Onder 50%Goals 2.5Onder50%2.00
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.67 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
FK Jablonec win51%1.96
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Slovacko win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Jablonec1.81

Thuis share of expected goals 67.8%

Total expected goals2.67Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 50% · Onder 50%

Slovacko0.86

Uit share of expected goals 32.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

FK Jablonec

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Slovacko

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
12
Points from supplied form
5
1.81
Expected goals
0.86
FK JablonecSlovacko
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Jablonec signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Slovacko signalThuis clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FK Jablonec vs Slovacko FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Jablonec gewonnen 51%,Gelijkspel 27%,Slovacko gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.67 · Boven 2.5 50% · Current selection Onder