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EUR UEFA Champions League Qualifying · Матч ·

Лион vs Спарта Прага

Archived pre-match prediction

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.72 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев49%
Ничья25%
Победа гостей26%
Baseline forecastПобеда хозяевTier C · 49% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев49% selection probability
Projected score2–1ЛионСпарта Прага
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше51% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
49% / 25% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Двойной шанс1275.3%1.33
Больше 51% · Меньше 49%Goals 2.5Больше51%1.96
Да 53% · Нет 47%Обе забьютДа53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.9 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Лион win49%2.04
Ничья25%4.00
Спарта Прага win26%3.85

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Лион1.62

Хозяева share of expected goals 59.6%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 51% · Меньше 49%

Спарта Прага1.10

Гости share of expected goals 40.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 53% · Нет 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Лион

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Спарта Прага

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
9
Points from supplied form
6
1.62
Expected goals
1.10
ЛионСпарта Прага
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Лион signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Спарта Прага signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Лион vs Спарта Прага FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Лион выигрыш 49%,Ничья 25%,Спарта Прага выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · ТБ 2.5 51% · Current selection Больше