Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 25% / 26%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Double chance1275.3%1.33
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.72 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Lyon win49%2.04
Draw25%4.00
Sparta Prague win26%3.85
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.6%
Total expected goals2.72Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%
Away share of expected goals 40.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchLyon
LLWWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSparta Prague
WWLLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
49%
Win probability excluding draw
26%9
Points from supplied form
61.62
Expected goals
1.10LyonSparta Prague
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.
Match questions
Lyon vs Sparta Prague FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Lyon win 49%，Draw 25%，Sparta Prague win 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.72 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over。