MatchFormula Zoek een wedstrijd
Menu
UTC+8
TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
DEU Duitsland - 3. Liga · Round 38 ·

Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst34%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst39%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–2SaarbrückenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.24Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven63% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
34% / 27% / 39%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.6%)Dubbele Kans1273.4%1.36
Boven 63% · Onder 37%Goals 2.5Boven63%1.59
Ja 65% · Nee 35%Beide teams scorenJa65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
11.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Saarbrücken win34%2.94
Gelijkspel27%3.70
Rot-Weiss Essen win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saarbrücken1.54

Thuis share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.24Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 63% · Onder 37%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.70

Uit share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 65% · Nee 35%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Saarbrücken

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalUit won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.54
Expected goals
1.70
SaarbrückenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saarbrücken signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalUit won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saarbrücken gewonnen 34%,Gelijkspel 27%,Rot-Weiss Essen gewonnen 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Boven 2.5 63% · Current selection Boven