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DEU Saksamaa 3. liiga · Round 1 ·

Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiß Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit34%
Viik27%
Võõrsilvõit39%
Full model forecastVõõrsilvõitTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVõõrsilvõit39% selection probability
Projected score2–2SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
Expected goals3.24Avamine match profile
Goals 2.5Üle63% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Üle 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
34% / 27% / 39%Mängu tulemusVõõrsilvõit39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Topeltvõimalus1273.3%1.36
Üle 63% · Alla 37%Goals 2.5Üle63%1.59
Jah 65% · Ei 35%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaJah65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–2
11.9 expected match cornersNurgalöögidÜle 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Saarbrücken win34%2.94
Viik27%3.70
Rot-Weiß Essen win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saarbrücken1.54

Kodu share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.24Avamine

Dedicated goals model: Üle 63% · Alla 37%

Rot-Weiß Essen1.70

Võõras share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJah 65% · Ei 35%Match profileAvamine
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Saarbrücken

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiß Essen

1.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punktid9

SignalVõõras won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Võit probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.54
Expected goals
1.70
SaarbrückenRot-Weiß Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saarbrücken signalKodu matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiß Essen signalVõõras won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Saarbrücken vs Rot-Weiß Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Võõrsilvõit · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saarbrücken võit 34%,Viik 27%,Rot-Weiß Essen võit 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Üle 2.5 63% · Current selection Üle