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DEU Németország - 3.Liga · Round 1 ·

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem34%
Döntetlen27%
Vendég győzelem39%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem39% selection probability
Projected score2–2SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.24Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett63% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
34% / 27% / 39%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Dupla esély1273.3%1.36
Felett 63% · Alatt 37%Goals 2.5Felett63%1.59
Igen 65% · Nem 35%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
11.9 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Saarbrucken win34%2.94
Döntetlen27%3.70
Rot-Weiss Essen win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saarbrucken1.54

Hazai share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.24Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 63% · Alatt 37%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.70

Vendég share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 65% · Nem 35%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Saarbrucken

1.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontok7

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontok9

SignalVendég won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Nyert probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.54
Expected goals
1.70
SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saarbrucken signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalVendég won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saarbrucken nyer 34%,Döntetlen 27%,Rot-Weiss Essen nyer 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · 2.5 felett 63% · Current selection Felett