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DEU Německo - 3. liga · Round 1 ·

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–23.24 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích34%
Remíza27%
Výhra hostů39%
Full model forecastVýhra hostůTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra hostů39% selection probability
Projected score2–2SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Expected goals3.24Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více63% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno65% for the selected side
Expected corners11.9Více 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
34% / 27% / 39%Výsledek zápasuVýhra hostů39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Dvojitá šance1273.3%1.36
Více 63% · Méně 37%Goals 2.5Více63%1.59
Ano 65% · Ne 35%Oba týmy skórujíAno65%1.54
3.24 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–2
11.9 expected match cornersRohyVíce 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ne snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
Saarbrucken win34%2.94
Remíza27%3.70
Rot-Weiss Essen win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Saarbrucken1.54

Domácí share of expected goals 47.5%

Total expected goals3.24Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 63% · Méně 37%

Rot-Weiss Essen1.70

Hosté share of expected goals 52.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitAno 65% · Ne 35%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Saarbrucken

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Rot-Weiss Essen

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalHosté won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Výhra probability excluding draw
39%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.54
Expected goals
1.70
SaarbruckenRot-Weiss Essen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Saarbrucken signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Rot-Weiss Essen signalHosté won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra hostů · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Saarbrucken výhra 34%,Remíza 27%,Rot-Weiss Essen výhra 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Více 2.5 63% · Current selection Více