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DEU Duitsland - 3. Liga · Wedstrijd ·

TSG Hoffenheim II vs Hansa Rostock

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.87 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst30%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst45%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst45% selection probability
Projected score2–2TSG Hoffenheim IIHansa Rostock
Expected goals3.87Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
30% / 25% / 45%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Dubbele Kans1275.5%1.32
Boven 74% · Onder 26%Goals 2.5Boven74%1.35
Ja 72% · Nee 28%Beide teams scorenJa72%1.39
3.87 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
10.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
TSG Hoffenheim II win30%3.33
Gelijkspel25%4.00
Hansa Rostock win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

TSG Hoffenheim II1.64

Thuis share of expected goals 42.4%

Total expected goals3.87Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 74% · Onder 26%

Hansa Rostock2.23

Uit share of expected goals 57.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 72% · Nee 28%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

TSG Hoffenheim II

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Hansa Rostock

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
45%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.64
Expected goals
2.23
TSG Hoffenheim IIHansa Rostock
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01TSG Hoffenheim II signalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hansa Rostock signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

TSG Hoffenheim II vs Hansa Rostock FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

TSG Hoffenheim II gewonnen 30%,Gelijkspel 25%,Hansa Rostock gewonnen 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.87 · Boven 2.5 74% · Current selection Boven