Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 32% / 27%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD da Serra win (26.8%)Dubbele Kans1X73.2%1.37
Boven 34% · Onder 66%Goals 2.5Onder66%1.52
Ja 41% · Nee 59%Beide teams scorenNee59%1.69
2.08 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
9.0 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Naval 1893 win41%2.44
Gelijkspel32%3.13
UD da Serra win27%3.70
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 60.1%
Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 34% · Onder 66%
Uit share of expected goals 39.9%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nee 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchNaval 1893
WDWWW
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchUD da Serra
LWLDW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7
SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
27%13
Points from supplied form
71.25
Expected goals
0.83Naval 1893UD da Serra
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 32%.
Match questions
Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Naval 1893 gewonnen 41%，Gelijkspel 32%，UD da Serra gewonnen 27%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.08 · Boven 2.5 34% · Current selection Onder。