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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score1–2Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa41%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante27%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Errou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Naval 1893UD da Serra
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo66% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
41% / 32% / 27%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD da Serra win (26.8%)Dupla Chance1X73.2%1.37
Acima 34% · Abaixo 66%Goals 2.5Abaixo66%1.52
Sim 41% · Não 59%Ambas as equipes marcamNão59%1.69
2.08 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.0 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Naval 1893 win41%2.44
Empate32%3.13
UD da Serra win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval 18931.25

Mandante share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 34% · Abaixo 66%

UD da Serra0.83

Visitante share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 41% · Não 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Naval 1893

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.25
Expected goals
0.83
Naval 1893UD da Serra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval 1893 signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD da Serra signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval 1893 ganhou 41%,Empate 32%,UD da Serra ganhou 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Acima 2.5 34% · Current selection Abaixo