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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra

Prediction review

Hemma form
Final score1–2Prognos 1–1
Borta form
Hemmaseger41%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger27%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Förlorad
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Naval 1893UD da Serra
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under66% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
41% / 32% / 27%MatchresultatHemmaseger41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD da Serra win (26.8%)Dubbelchans1X73.2%1.37
Över 34% · Under 66%Goals 2.5Under66%1.52
Ja 41% · Nej 59%Båda lagen gör målNej59%1.69
2.08 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.0 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Naval 1893 win41%2.44
Oavgjort32%3.13
UD da Serra win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval 18931.25

Hemma share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 34% · Under 66%

UD da Serra0.83

Borta share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 41% · Nej 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Naval 1893

2.60pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Poäng13

SignalHemma unbeaten 5/5

Borta-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.25
Expected goals
0.83
Naval 1893UD da Serra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval 1893 signalHemma unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD da Serra signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval 1893 vunnen 41%,Oavgjort 32%,UD da Serra vunnen 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Över 2.5 34% · Current selection Under