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PRT Portugali Campeonato Nacional · Final ·

Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra

Prediction review

Kodu form
Final score1–2Ennustus 1–1
Võõras form
Koduvõit41%
Viik32%
Võõrsilvõit27%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 41% selection probability
Prediction Kaotatud
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Naval 1893UD da Serra
Expected goals2.08Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla66% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
41% / 32% / 27%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UD da Serra win (26.8%)Topeltvõimalus1X73.2%1.37
Üle 34% · Alla 66%Goals 2.5Alla66%1.52
Jah 41% · Ei 59%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi59%1.69
2.08 total expected goalsTäpne skoor1–1
9.0 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
Naval 1893 win41%2.44
Viik32%3.13
UD da Serra win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naval 18931.25

Kodu share of expected goals 60.1%

Total expected goals2.08Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 34% · Alla 66%

UD da Serra0.83

Võõras share of expected goals 39.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJah 41% · Ei 59%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

Naval 1893

2.60pts / match
Mängitud5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punktid13

SignalKodu unbeaten 5/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

UD da Serra

1.40pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punktid7

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Võit probability excluding draw
27%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.25
Expected goals
0.83
Naval 1893UD da Serra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naval 1893 signalKodu unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UD da Serra signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Naval 1893 vs UD da Serra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naval 1893 võit 41%,Viik 32%,UD da Serra võit 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.08 · Üle 2.5 34% · Current selection Alla