Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
47% / 28% / 26%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Atletico win (25.5%)Dubbele Kans1X74.5%1.34
Boven 41% · Onder 59%Goals 2.5Onder59%1.69
Ja 47% · Nee 53%Beide teams scorenNee53%1.89
2.33 total expected goalsExacte score1–1——
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapAlianza Atletico winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Tarma win47%2.131.9546.9%+0.1 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Atletico win26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 57.9%
Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Boven 41% · Onder 59%
Uit share of expected goals 42.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nee 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchAD Tarma
DLLLL
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punten1
SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5
Uit-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAlianza Atletico
WLWLL
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6
SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
26%1
Points from supplied form
61.35
Expected goals
0.98AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
AD Tarma gewonnen 47%，Gelijkspel 28%，Alianza Atletico gewonnen 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.33 · Boven 2.5 41% · Current selection Onder。