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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

АД Тарма vs Альянса Атлетико

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–1Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев47%
Ничья28%
Победа гостей26%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев47% selection probability
Projected score1–1АД ТармаАльянса Атлетико
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше59% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
47% / 28% / 26%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Альянса Атлетико win (25.5%)Двойной шанс1X74.5%1.34
Больше 41% · Меньше 59%Goals 2.5Меньше59%1.69
Да 47% · Нет 53%Обе забьютНет53%1.89
2.33 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapАльянса Атлетико winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
АД Тарма win47%2.131.9546.9%+0.1 pp
Ничья28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
Альянса Атлетико win26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

АД Тарма1.35

Хозяева share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 41% · Меньше 59%

Альянса Атлетико0.98

Гости share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 47% · Нет 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

АД Тарма

0.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Баллы1

SignalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Альянса Атлетико

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
26%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.35
Expected goals
0.98
АД ТармаАльянса Атлетико
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01АД Тарма signalХозяева failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Альянса Атлетико signalГости matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

АД Тарма vs Альянса Атлетико FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

АД Тарма выигрыш 47%,Ничья 28%,Альянса Атлетико выигрыш 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · ТБ 2.5 41% · Current selection Меньше