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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico

Prediction review

Local form
Final score1–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local47%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante26%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Fallado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local47% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de59% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
47% / 28% / 26%Resultado del partidoVictoria local47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Atletico win (25.5%)Doble Oportunidad1X74.5%1.34
Más de 41% · Menos de 59%Goals 2.5Menos de59%1.69
Sí 47% · No 53%Ambos equipos marcanNo53%1.89
2.33 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
8.4 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapAlianza Atletico winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Tarma win47%2.131.9546.9%+0.1 pp
Empate28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Atletico win26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Tarma1.35

Local share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 41% · Menos de 59%

Alianza Atletico0.98

Visitante share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · No 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puntos1

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Alianza Atletico

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puntos6

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Ganado probability excluding draw
26%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.35
Expected goals
0.98
AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Tarma signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Atletico signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Tarma ganada 47%,Empate 28%,Alianza Atletico ganada 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Más de 2.5 41% · Current selection Menos de