Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
47% / 28% / 26%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Atlético win (25.5%)Double chance1X74.5%1.34
Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%Goals 2.5Moins de59%1.69
Oui 47% · Non 53%Les deux équipes marquentNon53%1.89
2.33 total expected goalsScore exact1–1——
8.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapAlianza Atlético winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Tarma win47%2.131.9546.9%+0.1 pp
Nul28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Atlético win26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Domicile share of expected goals 57.9%
Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Plus de 41% · Moins de 59%
Extérieur share of expected goals 42.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 47% · Non 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Domicile-context · form sequence
0.20pts / matchAD Tarma
DLLLL
Joués5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1
SignalDomicile failed to score: 2/5
Extérieur-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchAlianza Atlético
WLWLL
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalExtérieur matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
47%
Gagné probability excluding draw
26%1
Points from supplied form
61.35
Expected goals
0.98AD TarmaAlianza Atlético
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.
Match questions
AD Tarma vs Alianza Atlético FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
AD Tarma victoire 47%，Nul 28%，Alianza Atlético victoire 26%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.33 · Plus de 2.5 41% · Current selection Moins de。