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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico

Prediction review

Ev Sahibi form
Final score1–1Tahmin 1–1
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır47%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır26%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Kaybetti
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır47% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt59% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
47% / 28% / 26%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Atletico win (25.5%)Çifte Şans1X74.5%1.34
Üst 41% · Alt 59%Goals 2.5Alt59%1.69
Evet 47% · Hayır 53%Karşılıklı gol varHayır53%1.89
2.33 total expected goalsDoğru skor1–1
8.4 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapAlianza Atletico winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Tarma win47%2.131.9546.9%+0.1 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Atletico win26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Tarma1.35

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 41% · Alt 59%

Alianza Atletico0.98

Deplasman share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitEvet 47% · Hayır 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puan1

SignalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Alianza Atletico

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
26%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.35
Expected goals
0.98
AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Tarma signalEv Sahibi failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Atletico signalDeplasman matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Tarma kazanç 47%,Beraberlik 28%,Alianza Atletico kazanç 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · 2.5 Üst 41% · Current selection Alt