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INT ペルー リーガ1 · Final ·

ADタルマ vs アリアンサ・アトレティコ

Prediction review

ホーム form
Final score1–1予想 1–1
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利47%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利26%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction 不的中
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利47% selection probability
Projected score1–1ADタルマアリアンサ・アトレティコ
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー59% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
47% / 28% / 26%試合結果ホーム勝利47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes アリアンサ・アトレティコ win (25.5%)ダブルチャンス1X74.5%1.34
オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%Goals 2.5アンダー59%1.69
はい 47% · いいえ 53%両チーム得点いいえ53%1.89
2.33 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.4 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapアリアンサ・アトレティコ winDifference+0.6 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ADタルマ win47%2.131.9546.9%+0.1 pp
引き分け28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
アリアンサ・アトレティコ win26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ADタルマ1.35

ホーム share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 41% · アンダー 59%

アリアンサ・アトレティコ0.98

アウェイ share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 47% · いいえ 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ADタルマ

0.20pts / match
試合数5Wins0Drawn1Losses4ポイント1

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

アリアンサ・アトレティコ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
勝ち probability excluding draw
26%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.35
Expected goals
0.98
ADタルマアリアンサ・アトレティコ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ADタルマ signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02アリアンサ・アトレティコ signalアウェイ matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ADタルマ vs アリアンサ・アトレティコ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ADタルマ 勝ち 47%,引き分け 28%,アリアンサ・アトレティコ 勝ち 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · オーバー 2.5 41% · Current selection アンダー