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CHE Switzerland Challenge League · Kamp ·

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.67 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier44%
Uavgjort25%
Borteseier31%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Expected goals3.67Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
44% / 25% / 31%KampresultatHjemmeseier44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Dobbel sjanse1275%1.33
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Ja 70% · Nei 30%Begge lag scorerJa70%1.43
3.67 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
8.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapYverdon Sport FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Yverdon Sport FC win44%2.272.1543.5%+0.5 pp
Uavgjort25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
Aarau win31%3.233.0031.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yverdon Sport FC2.04

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.67Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Aarau1.63

Borte share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nei 30%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Yverdon Sport FC

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poeng6

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Aarau

1.40pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poeng7

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.63
Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yverdon Sport FC signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aarau signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yverdon Sport FC vunnet 44%,Uavgjort 25%,Aarau vunnet 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over