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CHE Svizzera - Challenge League · Partita ·

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–23.67 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa44%
Pareggio25%
Vittoria ospite31%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Expected goals3.67Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra71% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
44% / 25% / 31%Esito partitaVittoria casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Doppia Chance1275%1.33
Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%Goals 2.5Sopra71%1.41
Sì 70% · No 30%Entrambe le squadre segnano70%1.43
3.67 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–2
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapYverdon Sport FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Yverdon Sport FC win44%2.272.1543.5%+0.5 pp
Pareggio25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
Aarau win31%3.233.0031.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yverdon Sport FC2.04

Casa share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.67Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 71% · Sotto 29%

Aarau1.63

Trasferta share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 70% · No 30%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Yverdon Sport FC

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6

SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Aarau

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Vinta probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.63
Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yverdon Sport FC signalCasa unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aarau signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yverdon Sport FC vinta 44%,Pareggio 25%,Aarau vinta 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Sopra 2.5 71% · Current selection Sopra