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CHE Švýcarsko - Challenge League · Zápas ·

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domácí form
Projected score2–23.67 expected goals
Hosté form
Výhra domácích44%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostů31%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Expected goals3.67Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více71% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíAno70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
44% / 25% / 31%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Dvojitá šance1275%1.33
Více 71% · Méně 29%Goals 2.5Více71%1.41
Ano 70% · Ne 30%Oba týmy skórujíAno70%1.43
3.67 total expected goalsPřesné skóre2–2
8.7 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapYverdon Sport FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Yverdon Sport FC win44%2.272.1543.5%+0.5 pp
Remíza25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
Aarau win31%3.233.0031.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yverdon Sport FC2.04

Domácí share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.67Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 71% · Méně 29%

Aarau1.63

Hosté share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitAno 70% · Ne 30%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Yverdon Sport FC

1.20pts / match
Odehráno5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

Aarau

1.40pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Výhra probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.63
Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yverdon Sport FC signalDomácí unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aarau signalDomácí clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yverdon Sport FC výhra 44%,Remíza 25%,Aarau výhra 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Více 2.5 71% · Current selection Více