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CHE Suíça - Challenge League · Partida ·

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–23.67 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa44%
Empate25%
Vitória visitante31%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Expected goals3.67Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima71% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
44% / 25% / 31%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Dupla Chance1275%1.33
Acima 71% · Abaixo 29%Goals 2.5Acima71%1.41
Sim 70% · Não 30%Ambas as equipes marcamSim70%1.43
3.67 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–2
8.7 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapYverdon Sport FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Yverdon Sport FC win44%2.272.1543.5%+0.5 pp
Empate25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
Aarau win31%3.233.0031.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yverdon Sport FC2.04

Mandante share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.67Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 71% · Abaixo 29%

Aarau1.63

Visitante share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitSim 70% · Não 30%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Yverdon Sport FC

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Aarau

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.63
Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yverdon Sport FC signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aarau signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yverdon Sport FC ganhou 44%,Empate 25%,Aarau ganhou 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Acima 2.5 71% · Current selection Acima