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CHE Suiza - Challenge League · Partido ·

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.67 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local44%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante31%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Expected goals3.67Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de71% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan70% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
44% / 25% / 31%Resultado del partidoVictoria local44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Doble Oportunidad1275%1.33
Más de 71% · Menos de 29%Goals 2.5Más de71%1.41
Sí 70% · No 30%Ambos equipos marcan70%1.43
3.67 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
8.7 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.9%Largest probability gapYverdon Sport FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Yverdon Sport FC win44%2.272.1543.5%+0.5 pp
Empate25%4.003.7025.3%-0.3 pp
Aarau win31%3.233.0031.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yverdon Sport FC2.04

Local share of expected goals 55.6%

Total expected goals3.67Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 71% · Menos de 29%

Aarau1.63

Visitante share of expected goals 44.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 70% · No 30%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Yverdon Sport FC

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Aarau

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Ganado probability excluding draw
31%
6
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.63
Yverdon Sport FCAarau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yverdon Sport FC signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Aarau signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Yverdon Sport FC vs Aarau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yverdon Sport FC ganada 44%,Empate 25%,Aarau ganada 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Más de 2.5 71% · Current selection Más de