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IRL Republic of Ireland Leinster Senior League · Fixture ·

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win33%
Draw24%
Away win43%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score1–2St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 24% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Double chance1275.7%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapSt Mochtas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Mochtas win33%3.032.8032.5%+0.5 pp
Draw24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Kilbarrack Utd win43%2.332.1043.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Mochtas1.41

Home share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Kilbarrack Utd1.52

Away share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

St Mochtas

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Kilbarrack Utd

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.41
Expected goals
1.52
St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Mochtas signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kilbarrack Utd signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Mochtas win 33%,Draw 24%,Kilbarrack Utd win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over