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IRL Ирландия - Ленстер Сениор Лига · Матч ·

Сейнт-Мочтас vs Килбаррак Юнайтед

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев33%
Ничья24%
Победа гостей43%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей43% selection probability
Projected score1–2Сейнт-МочтасКилбаррак Юнайтед
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
33% / 24% / 43%Исход матчаПобеда гостей43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Двойной шанс1275.7%1.32
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–2
8.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapСейнт-Мочтас winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Сейнт-Мочтас win33%3.032.8032.5%+0.5 pp
Ничья24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Килбаррак Юнайтед win43%2.332.1043.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Сейнт-Мочтас1.41

Хозяева share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Килбаррак Юнайтед1.52

Гости share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Сейнт-Мочтас

2.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Баллы12

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Килбаррак Юнайтед

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
43%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.41
Expected goals
1.52
Сейнт-МочтасКилбаррак Юнайтед
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Сейнт-Мочтас signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Килбаррак Юнайтед signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Сейнт-Мочтас vs Килбаррак Юнайтед FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Сейнт-Мочтас выигрыш 33%,Ничья 24%,Килбаррак Юнайтед выигрыш 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше