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IRL Republica Irlanda - Leinster Senior League · Meci ·

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde33%
Egal24%
Victorie oaspeți43%
Full model forecastVictorie oaspețiTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie oaspeți43% selection probability
Projected score1–2St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
33% / 24% / 43%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie oaspeți43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Șansă dublă1275.7%1.32
Peste 56% · Sub 44%Goals 2.5Peste56%1.79
Da 59% · Nu 41%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsScor corect1–2
8.4 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapSt Mochtas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Mochtas win33%3.032.8032.5%+0.5 pp
Egal24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Kilbarrack Utd win43%2.332.1043.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Mochtas1.41

Gazde share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 56% · Sub 44%

Kilbarrack Utd1.52

Oaspeți share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitDa 59% · Nu 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

St Mochtas

2.40pts / match
Jucate5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puncte12

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Kilbarrack Utd

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Câștig probability excluding draw
43%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.41
Expected goals
1.52
St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Mochtas signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kilbarrack Utd signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie oaspeți · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Mochtas câștig 33%,Egal 24%,Kilbarrack Utd câștig 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Peste 2.5 56% · Current selection Peste