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IRL Irland - Leinster Senior League · Match ·

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger33%
Oavgjort24%
Bortaseger43%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–2St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över56% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
33% / 24% / 43%MatchresultatBortaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Dubbelchans1275.7%1.32
Över 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Över56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Båda lagen gör målJa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–2
8.4 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapSt Mochtas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Mochtas win33%3.032.8032.5%+0.5 pp
Oavgjort24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Kilbarrack Utd win43%2.332.1043.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Mochtas1.41

Hemma share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 56% · Under 44%

Kilbarrack Utd1.52

Borta share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

St Mochtas

2.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Poäng12

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kilbarrack Utd

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
43%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.41
Expected goals
1.52
St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Mochtas signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kilbarrack Utd signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Mochtas vunnen 33%,Oavgjort 24%,Kilbarrack Utd vunnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Över 2.5 56% · Current selection Över