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IRL Ierland - Leinster Senior League · Wedstrijd ·

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst33%
Gelijkspel24%
Uitwinst43%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst43% selection probability
Projected score1–2St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
33% / 24% / 43%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Dubbele Kans1275.7%1.32
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsExacte score1–2
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapSt Mochtas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Mochtas win33%3.032.8032.5%+0.5 pp
Gelijkspel24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Kilbarrack Utd win43%2.332.1043.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Mochtas1.41

Thuis share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Kilbarrack Utd1.52

Uit share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

St Mochtas

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Kilbarrack Utd

2.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punten10

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
43%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.41
Expected goals
1.52
St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Mochtas signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kilbarrack Utd signalThuis matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Mochtas gewonnen 33%,Gelijkspel 24%,Kilbarrack Utd gewonnen 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven