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IRL Irlandia - Leinster Senior League · Mecz ·

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–22.93 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy33%
Remis24%
Wygrana gości43%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości43% selection probability
Projected score1–2St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
33% / 24% / 43%Wynik meczuWygrana gości43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.3%)Podwójna szansa1275.7%1.32
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 59% · Nie 41%Obie drużyny strzeląTak59%1.69
2.93 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–2
8.4 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.0%Largest probability gapSt Mochtas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
St Mochtas win33%3.032.8032.5%+0.5 pp
Remis24%4.173.7524.2%-0.2 pp
Kilbarrack Utd win43%2.332.1043.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

St Mochtas1.41

Gospodarze share of expected goals 48.1%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

Kilbarrack Utd1.52

Goście share of expected goals 51.9%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitTak 59% · Nie 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

St Mochtas

2.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkty12

SignalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Kilbarrack Utd

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
43%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.41
Expected goals
1.52
St MochtasKilbarrack Utd
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01St Mochtas signalGospodarze unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kilbarrack Utd signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

St Mochtas vs Kilbarrack Utd FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 1–2 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

St Mochtas wygrana 33%,Remis 24%,Kilbarrack Utd wygrana 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej