Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
25% / 36% / 39%Match resultAway win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (25%)Double chanceX275%1.33
Over 8% · Under 92%Goals 2.5Under92%1.09
Yes 15% · No 85%Both teams scoreNo85%1.18
0.99 total expected goalsCorrect score0–1——
7.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JJ Urquiza win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Draw36%2.782.5534.9%+1.1 pp
El Porvenir win39%2.562.2539.6%-0.6 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 40.4%
Total expected goals0.99Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 8% · Under 92%
Away share of expected goals 59.6%
Projected score0–1BTTS splitYes 15% · No 85%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchJJ Urquiza
LDDWD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchEl Porvenir
LDLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
25%
Win probability excluding draw
39%6
Points from supplied form
20.40
Expected goals
0.59JJ UrquizaEl Porvenir
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 36%.
Match questions
JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 0–1 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
JJ Urquiza win 25%，Draw 36%，El Porvenir win 39%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 0.99 · Over 2.5 8% · Current selection Under。