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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Final ·

Canuelas FC vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Prediction review

Home form
Final score1–2Forecast 1–1
Away form
Home win39%
Draw34%
Away win27%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Lost
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Canuelas FCEstrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Expected goals1.80Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners7.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 34% / 27%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win (27%)Double chance1X73%1.37
Over 27% · Under 73%Goals 2.5Under73%1.37
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.80 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
7.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapCanuelas FC winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Canuelas FC win39%2.562.3038.7%+0.3 pp
Draw34%2.942.6034.3%-0.3 pp
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win27%3.703.3027%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Canuelas FC1.02

Home share of expected goals 56.7%

Total expected goals1.80Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 27% · Under 73%

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn0.78

Away share of expected goals 43.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Canuelas FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
7
1.02
Expected goals
0.78
Canuelas FCEstrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Canuelas FC signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Canuelas FC vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Canuelas FC win 39%,Draw 34%,Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.80 · Over 2.5 27% · Current selection Under