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ARG Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Fixture ·

CA Atlas vs Argentino de Rosario

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.12 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw32%
Away win29%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA AtlasArgentino de Rosario
Expected goals2.12Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under65% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 32% / 29%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Argentino de Rosario win (28.8%)Double chance1X71.2%1.40
Over 35% · Under 65%Goals 2.5Under65%1.54
Yes 42% · No 58%Both teams scoreNo58%1.72
2.12 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
CA Atlas win40%2.50
Draw32%3.13
Argentino de Rosario win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Atlas1.22

Home share of expected goals 57.5%

Total expected goals2.12Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 35% · Under 65%

Argentino de Rosario0.90

Away share of expected goals 42.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 42% · No 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

CA Atlas

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Argentino de Rosario

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
29%
7
Points from supplied form
5
1.22
Expected goals
0.90
CA AtlasArgentino de Rosario
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Atlas signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Argentino de Rosario signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

CA Atlas vs Argentino de Rosario FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Atlas win 40%,Draw 32%,Argentino de Rosario win 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.12 · Over 2.5 35% · Current selection Under