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ARG Аржентина - Примера C Метрополитана · Мач ·

ЖЖ Уркиза vs Ел Порвенир

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score0–10.99 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина25%
Равен36%
Победа за госта39%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта39% selection probability
Projected score0–1ЖЖ УркизаЕл Порвенир
Expected goals0.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под92% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе85% for the selected side
Expected corners7.4Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
25% / 36% / 39%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ЖЖ Уркиза win (25%)Двоен шансX275%1.33
Над 8% · Под 92%Goals 2.5Под92%1.09
Да 15% · Не 85%И двата отбора да отбележатНе85%1.18
0.99 total expected goalsТочен резултат0–1
7.4 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЖЖ Уркиза win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Равен36%2.782.5534.9%+1.1 pp
Ел Порвенир win39%2.562.2539.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЖЖ Уркиза0.40

Домакин share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals0.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 8% · Под 92%

Ел Порвенир0.59

Гост share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitДа 15% · Не 85%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ЖЖ Уркиза

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ел Порвенир

0.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Точки2

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
2
0.40
Expected goals
0.59
ЖЖ УркизаЕл Порвенир
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЖЖ Уркиза signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ел Порвенир signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

ЖЖ Уркиза vs Ел Порвенир FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 0–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЖЖ Уркиза печеливш 25%,Равен 36%,Ел Порвенир печеливш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 0.99 · Над 2.5 8% · Current selection Под