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ARG Аргентина - Примера С Метрополитана · Матч ·

ЖЖ Уркуиза vs Эль-Порвенир

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score0–10.99 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев25%
Ничья36%
Победа гостей39%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей39% selection probability
Projected score0–1ЖЖ УркуизаЭль-Порвенир
Expected goals0.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше92% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет85% for the selected side
Expected corners7.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
25% / 36% / 39%Исход матчаПобеда гостей39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ЖЖ Уркуиза win (25%)Двойной шансX275%1.33
Больше 8% · Меньше 92%Goals 2.5Меньше92%1.09
Да 15% · Нет 85%Обе забьютНет85%1.18
0.99 total expected goalsТочный счёт0–1
7.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ЖЖ Уркуиза win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Ничья36%2.782.5534.9%+1.1 pp
Эль-Порвенир win39%2.562.2539.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ЖЖ Уркуиза0.40

Хозяева share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals0.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 8% · Меньше 92%

Эль-Порвенир0.59

Гости share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitДа 15% · Нет 85%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ЖЖ Уркуиза

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Эль-Порвенир

0.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Баллы2

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
2
0.40
Expected goals
0.59
ЖЖ УркуизаЭль-Порвенир
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ЖЖ Уркуиза signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Эль-Порвенир signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

ЖЖ Уркуиза vs Эль-Порвенир FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 0–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ЖЖ Уркуиза выигрыш 25%,Ничья 36%,Эль-Порвенир выигрыш 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 0.99 · ТБ 2.5 8% · Current selection Меньше