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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Partida ·

JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score0–10.99 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa25%
Empate36%
Vitória visitante39%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante39% selection probability
Projected score0–1JJ UrquizaEl Porvenir
Expected goals0.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo92% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão85% for the selected side
Expected corners7.4Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
25% / 36% / 39%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (25%)Dupla ChanceX275%1.33
Acima 8% · Abaixo 92%Goals 2.5Abaixo92%1.09
Sim 15% · Não 85%Ambas as equipes marcamNão85%1.18
0.99 total expected goalsPlacar exato0–1
7.4 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JJ Urquiza win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Empate36%2.782.5534.9%+1.1 pp
El Porvenir win39%2.562.2539.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JJ Urquiza0.40

Mandante share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals0.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 8% · Abaixo 92%

El Porvenir0.59

Visitante share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitSim 15% · Não 85%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

El Porvenir

0.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Pontos2

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
2
0.40
Expected goals
0.59
JJ UrquizaEl Porvenir
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JJ Urquiza signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Porvenir signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 0–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JJ Urquiza ganhou 25%,Empate 36%,El Porvenir ganhou 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 0.99 · Acima 2.5 8% · Current selection Abaixo