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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Kamp ·

JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score0–10.99 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr25%
Uafgjort36%
Udesejr39%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr39% selection probability
Projected score0–1JJ UrquizaEl Porvenir
Expected goals0.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under92% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej85% for the selected side
Expected corners7.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
25% / 36% / 39%KampresultatUdesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (25%)DobbeltchanceX275%1.33
Over 8% · Under 92%Goals 2.5Under92%1.09
Ja 15% · Nej 85%Begge hold scorerNej85%1.18
0.99 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat0–1
7.4 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JJ Urquiza win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Uafgjort36%2.782.5534.9%+1.1 pp
El Porvenir win39%2.562.2539.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JJ Urquiza0.40

Hjemme share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals0.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 8% · Under 92%

El Porvenir0.59

Ude share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitJa 15% · Nej 85%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

El Porvenir

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Vundet probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
2
0.40
Expected goals
0.59
JJ UrquizaEl Porvenir
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JJ Urquiza signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Porvenir signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 0–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JJ Urquiza vundet 25%,Uafgjort 36%,El Porvenir vundet 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 0.99 · Over 2.5 8% · Current selection Under