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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Kamp ·

CA Lugano vs Lujan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr34%
Uafgjort33%
Udesejr33%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr34% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA LuganoLujan
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
34% / 33% / 33%KampresultatHjemmesejr34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.9%)Dobbeltchance1267.1%1.49
Over 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Begge hold scorerNej61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
CA Lugano win34%2.94
Uafgjort33%3.03
Lujan win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Lugano0.98

Hjemme share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 31% · Under 69%

Lujan0.96

Ude share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

CA Lugano

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Lujan

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Vundet probability excluding draw
33%
11
Points from supplied form
10
0.98
Expected goals
0.96
CA LuganoLujan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Lugano signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lujan signalHjemme clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CA Lugano vs Lujan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Lugano vundet 34%,Uafgjort 33%,Lujan vundet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Over 2.5 31% · Current selection Under