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ARG Argentinien - Primera C Metropolitana · Spiel ·

CA Lugano vs Lujan

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.94 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg34%
Unentschieden33%
Auswärtssieg33%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg34% selection probability
Projected score1–1CA LuganoLujan
Expected goals1.94Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter69% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein61% for the selected side
Expected corners8.2Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
34% / 33% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.9%)Doppelte Chance1267.1%1.49
Über 31% · Unter 69%Goals 2.5Unter69%1.45
Ja 39% · Nein 61%Beide Teams treffenNein61%1.64
1.94 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.2 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
CA Lugano win34%2.94
Unentschieden33%3.03
Lujan win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CA Lugano0.98

Heim share of expected goals 50.5%

Total expected goals1.94Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 31% · Unter 69%

Lujan0.96

Auswärts share of expected goals 49.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nein 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CA Lugano

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Lujan

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
11
Points from supplied form
10
0.98
Expected goals
0.96
CA LuganoLujan
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CA Lugano signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lujan signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 33%.

Match questions

CA Lugano vs Lujan FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CA Lugano Gewinn 34%,Unentschieden 33%,Lujan Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.94 · Über 2.5 31% · Current selection Unter