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ARG Argentine - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score0–10.99 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile25%
Nul36%
Victoire à l’extérieur39%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur39% selection probability
Projected score0–1JJ UrquizaEl Porvenir
Expected goals0.99Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de92% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon85% for the selected side
Expected corners7.4Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
25% / 36% / 39%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes JJ Urquiza win (25%)Double chanceX275%1.33
Plus de 8% · Moins de 92%Goals 2.5Moins de92%1.09
Oui 15% · Non 85%Les deux équipes marquentNon85%1.18
0.99 total expected goalsScore exact0–1
7.4 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
JJ Urquiza win25%4.003.5025.5%-0.5 pp
Nul36%2.782.5534.9%+1.1 pp
El Porvenir win39%2.562.2539.6%-0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

JJ Urquiza0.40

Domicile share of expected goals 40.4%

Total expected goals0.99Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 8% · Moins de 92%

El Porvenir0.59

Extérieur share of expected goals 59.6%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitOui 15% · Non 85%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

JJ Urquiza

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

El Porvenir

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
25%
Gagné probability excluding draw
39%
6
Points from supplied form
2
0.40
Expected goals
0.59
JJ UrquizaEl Porvenir
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01JJ Urquiza signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02El Porvenir signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 36%.

Match questions

JJ Urquiza vs El Porvenir FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 0–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

JJ Urquiza victoire 25%,Nul 36%,El Porvenir victoire 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 0.99 · Plus de 2.5 8% · Current selection Moins de