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ARG Argentine - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile19%
Nul31%
Victoire à l’extérieur49%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo ParaguayoSportivo Barracas
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de70% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
19% / 31% / 49%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Paraguayo win (19.4%)Double chanceX280.6%1.24
Plus de 30% · Moins de 70%Goals 2.5Moins de70%1.43
Oui 32% · Non 68%Les deux équipes marquentNon68%1.47
1.92 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Deportivo Paraguayo win19%5.26
Nul31%3.23
Sportivo Barracas win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Paraguayo0.55

Domicile share of expected goals 28.6%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 30% · Moins de 70%

Sportivo Barracas1.37

Extérieur share of expected goals 71.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 32% · Non 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Deportivo Paraguayo

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Sportivo Barracas

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Gagné probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.55
Expected goals
1.37
Deportivo ParaguayoSportivo Barracas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Paraguayo signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sportivo Barracas signalDomicile failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Paraguayo victoire 19%,Nul 31%,Sportivo Barracas victoire 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Plus de 2.5 30% · Current selection Moins de