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ARG Argentina - Primera C Metropolitana · Match ·

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger19%
Oavgjort31%
Bortaseger49%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Deportivo ParaguayoSportivo Barracas
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
19% / 31% / 49%MatchresultatBortaseger49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Deportivo Paraguayo win (19.4%)DubbelchansX280.6%1.24
Över 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Ja 32% · Nej 68%Båda lagen gör målNej68%1.47
1.92 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Deportivo Paraguayo win19%5.26
Oavgjort31%3.23
Sportivo Barracas win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Paraguayo0.55

Hemma share of expected goals 28.6%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 30% · Under 70%

Sportivo Barracas1.37

Borta share of expected goals 71.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 32% · Nej 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Deportivo Paraguayo

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Sportivo Barracas

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.55
Expected goals
1.37
Deportivo ParaguayoSportivo Barracas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Paraguayo signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sportivo Barracas signalHemma failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Deportivo Paraguayo vs Sportivo Barracas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Paraguayo vunnen 19%,Oavgjort 31%,Sportivo Barracas vunnen 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Över 2.5 30% · Current selection Under