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ARG アルゼンチン プリメーラCメトロポリターナ · 試合 ·

デポルティーボ・パラグアージョ vs スポルティヴォ・バラカス

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.92 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利19%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利49%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利49% selection probability
Projected score1–1デポルティーボ・パラグアージョスポルティヴォ・バラカス
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー70% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
19% / 31% / 49%試合結果アウェイ勝利49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes デポルティーボ・パラグアージョ win (19.4%)ダブルチャンスX280.6%1.24
オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%Goals 2.5アンダー70%1.43
はい 32% · いいえ 68%両チーム得点いいえ68%1.47
1.92 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
デポルティーボ・パラグアージョ win19%5.26
引き分け31%3.23
スポルティヴォ・バラカス win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

デポルティーボ・パラグアージョ0.55

ホーム share of expected goals 28.6%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 30% · アンダー 70%

スポルティヴォ・バラカス1.37

アウェイ share of expected goals 71.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 32% · いいえ 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

デポルティーボ・パラグアージョ

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

スポルティヴォ・バラカス

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
勝ち probability excluding draw
49%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.55
Expected goals
1.37
デポルティーボ・パラグアージョスポルティヴォ・バラカス
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01デポルティーボ・パラグアージョ signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02スポルティヴォ・バラカス signalホーム failed to score: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

デポルティーボ・パラグアージョ vs スポルティヴォ・バラカス FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

デポルティーボ・パラグアージョ 勝ち 19%,引き分け 31%,スポルティヴォ・バラカス 勝ち 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · オーバー 2.5 30% · Current selection アンダー