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ARM Armenia Premier League · Fixture ·

Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–01.93 expected goals
Away form
Home win71%
Draw18%
Away win11%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 71% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win71% selection probability
Projected score2–0Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo77% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
71% / 18% / 11%Match resultHome win71%1.41
Derived from 1X2 · excludes BKMA FC win (11%)Double chance1X89%1.12
Over 30% · Under 70%Goals 2.5Under70%1.43
Yes 23% · No 77%Both teams scoreNo77%1.30
1.93 total expected goalsCorrect score2–0
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.1%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alashkert FC win71%1.411.2971.1%-0.1 pp
Draw18%5.565.2517.5%+0.5 pp
BKMA FC win11%9.098.0011.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alashkert FC1.60

Home share of expected goals 82.9%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 30% · Under 70%

BKMA FC0.33

Away share of expected goals 17.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitYes 23% · No 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Alashkert FC

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

BKMA FC

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
71%
Win probability excluding draw
11%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.60
Expected goals
0.33
Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alashkert FC signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BKMA FC signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk29% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–0 · 71% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alashkert FC win 71%,Draw 18%,BKMA FC win 11%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Over 2.5 30% · Current selection Under