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ARM Armenia Premier League · Spiel ·

Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–01.93 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg66%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg13%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 66% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg66% selection probability
Projected score2–0Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein77% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
66% / 21% / 13%SpielergebnisHeimsieg66%1.52
Derived from 1X2 · excludes BKMA FC win (13.1%)Doppelte Chance1X86.9%1.15
Über 30% · Unter 70%Goals 2.5Unter70%1.43
Ja 23% · Nein 77%Beide Teams treffenNein77%1.30
1.93 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–0
8.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapBKMA FC winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alashkert FC win66%1.521.3665.6%+0.4 pp
Unentschieden21%4.764.3320.6%+0.4 pp
BKMA FC win13%7.696.5013.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alashkert FC1.60

Heim share of expected goals 82.9%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 30% · Unter 70%

BKMA FC0.33

Auswärts share of expected goals 17.1%

Projected score2–0BTTS splitJa 23% · Nein 77%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Alashkert FC

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

BKMA FC

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
66%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.60
Expected goals
0.33
Alashkert FCBKMA FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alashkert FC signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02BKMA FC signalHeim unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk34% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Alashkert FC vs BKMA FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–0 · 66% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alashkert FC Gewinn 66%,Unentschieden 21%,BKMA FC Gewinn 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Über 2.5 30% · Current selection Unter